Acuerdo UE-MERCOSUR: ¿posibles cambios de origen de las importaciones del Paraguay?
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Date
Subject
EU
MERCOSUR
Paraguay
trade indicators
trade diversion
UE
MERCOSUR
Paraguay
indicadores de comercio
desvío de comercio
MERCOSUR
Paraguay
trade indicators
trade diversion
UE
MERCOSUR
Paraguay
indicadores de comercio
desvío de comercio
Language:
Journal Title
Journal ISSN
Volume Title
Publisher
Instituto Tecnológico de Santo Domingo (INTEC)
La Unión Europea (UE) y el Mercado Común del Sur (MERCOSUR) han estado negociando la firma de un Acuerdo de Asociación Regional (AAR) desde mediados de la década de los noventa. Los posibles efectos en el MERCOSUR han sido ampliamente estudiados con énfasis en Argentina y Brasil, en detrimento de las dos economías de menor desarrollo relativo: Paraguay y Uruguay; se pretende llenar este vacío focalizando la investigación en Paraguay. El objetivo es identificar los productos importados por Paraguay, a nivel de sub-partidas del Sistema Armonizado de Designación y Codificación de Mercaderías (SA), que podrían ser reemplazados desde los proveedores tradicionales por similares provenientes de la UE, lo que se conoce como desvío de comercio en la literatura especializada. La metodología aplicada se organizó en tres pasos. En el primero, se ajustaron las bases de datos de comercio. Luego, se calcularon los índices de comercio y, finalmente, estos índices se combinaron siguiendo la condicional “si……. entonces…”, lo que dio como resultado final la agrupación de las sub-partidas en ocho categorías. Los resultados han mostrado que al menos el 90% del valor importado por Paraguay, desde sus principales mercados proveedores (China, Brasil y Argentina), pueden ser reemplazados por proveedores similares provenientes desde la UE.
The European Union (EU) and the Southern Common Market (MERCOSUR) have been negotiating a bi-regional Association Agreement since the mid-nineties. The possible effects on MERCOSUR have been widely studied with emphasis on Argentina and Brazil, the main economies, and to a lesser extent on the two relatively less developed economies: Paraguay and Uruguay. This work aims to fill this gap by focusing in Paraguay. The objective is to identify products, at the level of sub-headings of the Harmonized System, imported by Paraguay that could be replaced from traditional suppliers by similar ones from the EU, called trade diversion in the specialized literature. The applied methodology was organized in three steps. First trade databases were adjusted. Then the trade indices were calculated and finally these indices were combined following the conditional “if ... then ...”. The results showed that at least 90% of the value imported by Paraguay from its main suppliers (China, Brazil and Argentina) could be replaced by similar ones from the EU.
The European Union (EU) and the Southern Common Market (MERCOSUR) have been negotiating a bi-regional Association Agreement since the mid-nineties. The possible effects on MERCOSUR have been widely studied with emphasis on Argentina and Brazil, the main economies, and to a lesser extent on the two relatively less developed economies: Paraguay and Uruguay. This work aims to fill this gap by focusing in Paraguay. The objective is to identify products, at the level of sub-headings of the Harmonized System, imported by Paraguay that could be replaced from traditional suppliers by similar ones from the EU, called trade diversion in the specialized literature. The applied methodology was organized in three steps. First trade databases were adjusted. Then the trade indices were calculated and finally these indices were combined following the conditional “if ... then ...”. The results showed that at least 90% of the value imported by Paraguay from its main suppliers (China, Brazil and Argentina) could be replaced by similar ones from the EU.
Description
Type
info:eu-repo/semantics/article
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion
Source
Science, Economy & Business; Vol 2 No 1 (2018): Science, Economics and Business; 11-36
Ciencia, Economía y Negocios; Vol. 2 Núm. 1 (2018): Ciencia, Economía y Negocios; 11-36
2613-8778
2613-876X
10.22206/ceyn.2018.v2i1
Ciencia, Economía y Negocios; Vol. 2 Núm. 1 (2018): Ciencia, Economía y Negocios; 11-36
2613-8778
2613-876X
10.22206/ceyn.2018.v2i1